Lab 1: Magnitude and Frequency of Flood Events on the
Guadalupe River, Texas
Process Geomorphology
GRG 339-C
Hudson : Fall 2002
Geomorphologists are interested in flooding because
large hydrologic events are associated with significant geomorphic change. Whether
or not large flood events are responsible for more geomorphic change than frequently
occuring smaller discharge events is an important theoretical consideration
of geomorphologists, and related to how landforms change. Flooding is only a
problem when humans are impacted. During eary July of 2002 the Texas Hill Country
received an unusually large amount of rain,
which generated basin scale flooding
in the rivers draining the eastern Edwards Plateau. This region, the Texas
Hill Country, is poised for catastrophic flooding because of the physical
setting, steep slopes and thin soils, and the abundant source of moisture from
the Gulf of Mexico. Although such flooding was viewed as catastrophic, it is
important to understand the magnitude of the event within the context of the
historical data, which pertains to the frequency with which such events occur.
The question is: How large was the flood, and how common (frequency)
do floods of this size (magnitude) occur? In order to address this question
you will perform common hydrological analysis, including hydrographs, flood
recurrence intervals, and flow duration curves.
- the lab is due Thursday, October 15th.
- you will need a Zip disk and access to the Internet
- you will be downloading streamflow data from a Guadlupe River gauging
station
- you will work with a partner in this lab
- be sure to hand in
a diskette with your data (streamflow data with only the correct graphs)
in Excel format, a hard copy of the plots, and a table with the discharge
and duration values (see bottom of this page for details)
I. Dowload data into Excel
- Select a gauging station along the Guadalupe River
(e.g. New Braunfels, Gonzales, Cuero, Victoria, etc...)
- you will be downloading two types of data
- 1. daily values for the period of record (through 9/30/2002)
- 2. annual peak series (the maximum annual discharge event)
- *unfortunately, the 2002 hydrologic year data is
not yet included with the rest of the streamflow data, for this reason you
will need to download this data seperately, and append it to the larger record
within a spreadsheet (Excel)
- Procedure for downloading USGS streamflow data
and importing into Excel
- from the USGS
Water site, click on Surface Water
- choose the state (see
image)
- click on Streamflow
- click Site
Name
- finally enter the river
name (ex: Guadalupe), and select Site
Name,, and submit to obtain a list of stations for download
- click on the station to download
- select a single station from the list of
Guadalupe stations
- examine the options in the available data pull-down
menu
- this is where you will identify the type of data to download
- you will download all of the "recent daily" (daily
values from 10/01/01 to 09/30/02), "daily streamflow (usually
eary 1960s to 09/30/01)", and "peak streamflow (early
1960s to 2001)"
- Station
Information at the top of the screen. This provides useful information
pertaining to the gauging station (history of station, elevation of gauge,
basin area above gauge, etc...), and record of streamflow data.
- Choose the range of data in the Dates
to Retrieve box. Be sure your data begins and ends with the limits
of a U.S. hydrologic year, 10/01 and ends with 09/30, respectively
- Select Tab-delimited text data file as the
output format and then select the date format you prefer (tab seperated
is a good option)
- Click on the Retrieve Data button.
- It may take several minutes to download
your data, depending on your computer speed, time of request, and amount
of data. Be patient.
- repeat the above steps for each data set
- Examine your data. In the left hand column is the
date pertaining to each daily discharge record, and in the right hand column
is the discharge data in cubic feet per second (cfs, or, ft^3/s). Read the
heading for notes and information on the format of the data.
- Often this will provide information as to the
number of missing records, whether the gauging station has been relocated,
elevation of the stream gauge, drainage area, etc....
- Copy the data by selecting the data and dragging
the cursor, or, press Ctrl / A on your keyboard
Next…
- In Windows, execute Notepad in the
Accessories menu from the Start button
- Using the right-click button on the mouse, paste
your data into Notepad and save the file to your disk.
- This will save the data
in ASCII format
- Execute Excel
- Excel will detect the text or ASCII
format, so you will have to define the data to Excel with the Import
Wizard
- Save the data in an Excel spreadsheet format
- Clean-up the data by removing the header information
(some of this information is useful, you may want to save it in a different
spreadsheet) so that you have two columns, date
and discharge
- In Excel, append the "recent daily" streamflow data for hydrologic
year 2002 (10/01/2001 - 09/30/2002) with your "daily streamflow"
record so that you have a continuous column of data
- also, using the "recent daily" data, find the peak event
from this past summer and append to your "peak streamflow" record
- you should now have two data sets ending in hydrologic year 2002
II-A: Gauging station information
USGS Gauging Stations
- Answer the following questions about the gauging station
- what is the elevation of the gauging station?
- what is the location, latitude - longitude and description (i.e.
bridge of 183, south of Dallas)
- how long has the gauging station been in operation?
- has the station been moved?
- are there any special consideration with respect to the data?
- what other types of data is available?
II-B:
Daily Q:
- Compute the average daily Q for your station using
the entire period of record
- at the cell beneath the last discharge value
(09/30/02), enter the following formula
- =average(a1:a5000)
- note: the cell address and range will
vary for each station and spreadsheet
Annual peak Q:
- using similar procedures, compute the average
annual peak discharge for your period of record
III-A: Construct a Flow Duration
Curve
Flow duration curves are especially useful for examining
daily Q values over the entire period of record. The flow duration is the %
of time a Q event of a given magnitude is equaled or exceeded. Thus, a Q of
12,000 cfs with a duration of 30% implies that 70% of the time the daily streamflow
is less than 12,000 cfs. Conversely, a very high duration, for example 95%,
means that the streamflow of that duration was equaled or exceeded almost every
day (95% of the time). Stream ecologists often use flow duration curves to determine
the frequency of low flows, which is an important consideration for many aquatic
species that depend on a specific range of flow conditions.
- Plot a flow
duration curve using your total discharge record
- make a copy of your discharge data and paste
as a new column
- sort the data in descending order (from highest
to lowest discharge)
- determine the N for each discharge value
- N = rank of a particular event, with 1
= to the largest daily discharge event during record
- if you have 30 years of data, your smallest
daily Q will have an N of 10,950 (30*365)
- the column should begin with 1 and end with
the largest N corresponding to the lowest discharge (at the bottom
of the column)
- you will need to use Excel to fill a
series of data from 1 to ... to make the N column
- insert a # 1 in the first cell of
the column to be filled, and then block the column
- from the menu, select Edit
/ Fill / Series, and define the stop value (the number of
values in your data set), and click on the trend box
- this should have created a new column
of data (the N values)
- compute T by entering the following
spreadsheet formula into the cell adjacent your N column
=(b1/n+1)*100
- the actual cell address (b1) will
vary
- this will compute T, % of time that
a daily discharge event is equaled or exceeded
- T=N/n+1, by mulitplying by 100
time is converted to a %
- n = # days of daily data
- b1 is the cell substitute for N,
the rank of a particular daily discharge, with 1 = to the largest
daily discharge during record
- your spreadsheet columns should look like
this
- note: the Q column (discharge) has been
moved to the right for the purpose of plotting
III-B: Plot the data in Excel
- block the two columns, with % time on
the left, and Q as the column on the right
- hold the shift button and scroll
(block) to the bottom of the columns (i.e. columns H and
I in the example)
- click on the Chart
icon on the menu bar (above your spreadhseet cells)
- select XY (scatter)
- Finish
Format your chart
- The range for the X axis should be from 0 –
100 (using divisions of 10)
- The Y axis should range from the minimum to
the maximum discharge value so that the entire variability of your data
is displayed
- Make the Y axis a logarithmic scale
- double click on the Y axis
to activate the axis options
- select logarithmic
- note that you can also change the font properties
(style, color, size, etc...), line
style (to remove symbols), rang, etc...
- spend some time experimenting with the
different options for both the X and Y axes
- the X axis must not be logarithmic
- the completed graph should display a curvilinear
pattern
IV-A: Determine the Recurrence Interval (RI)
for the recent July flood event
Flood recurrence intervals (RI) are a very useful
flood index. The RI is the average number of years between floods of equal or
greater magnitude. It does not mean that a flood of a specific magnitude will
occur every x years. For example, for a 100 year period of record the
two largest floods may occur in consecutive years. Indeed, rivers do not understand
statistics. However, because this statistic is one of the most commonly
reported hydrological indices, it is important for you to understand how it
is derived. Although there are more sophisticated procedures for computing RI,
the technique outlined below has long been considered the standard in the hydrological
sciences. Other techniques, such as Log-Pearson III, may be more appropriate
considering the skewed distribution of most hydrographic data sets, particularly
in south-central Texas, but the Gumbel method should suffice for our
purposes. Geomorphologists are interested in the RI of floods because they relate
to channel pattern and geomorphic change. Determining the flood recurrence interval
for a gauging station is commonly done by engineers to understand the percentage
of time a discharge of a given magnitude (or threshold) will occur. Such analysis
are also useful in the consideration and design of engineering structures, such
as a bridge or dam.
- use the annual peak Q data set
- Plot a flood recurrence interval curve
- make a copy of the peak discharge data and paste
as a new column
- sort the data in descending order (from highest
to lowest discharge)
- use the sort command in Excel
- determine the N for each discharge value
- N = rank of a particular flood, with 1
= to the largest flood of record
- rank the peak discharge values from 1
- … highest N in the column adjacent to your sorted peak flow data
- the column should begin with 1 and
end with the largest N corresponding to the lowest discharge
(at the bottom of the column)
- thus, if you have 50 years of data, the smallest annual
Q would have an N of 50
- compute the recurrence interval (RI
= n+1/N)
- the spreadsheet formula should be entered
into the cell adjacent your N column and will appear as:
=(n+1/b1)
- substitute the spreadsheet cell address
(ex: b1) for N
- this will compute RI, the recurrence
interval (in years) of a given flood event, or, the average # of years
between events equaling or exceeding a flood of a given magnitude
- n = # years
- N = rank of an annual flood event,
with 1 = to the largest flood event on record
- your spreadsheet columns should look like
this
- note: the Q column (discharge) has been
moved to the right for the purpose of plotting
IV-B: Plot the data in Excel
- block the two columns, with Q on the
left, and T as the column on the right
- hold the shift button and scroll
(block) to the bottom of the columns (i.e. columns H and
I in the example)
- click on the Chart
icon on the menu bar (above your spreadhseet cells)
- select XY (scatter)
- Finish
Format your chart
- The range for the X axis should be from 0 –
100 (using divisions of 10)
- Make the X axis a logarithmic scale
- double click on the X axis to activate
the axis options
- The Y axis should range from 0 to the maximum
discharge value (an even #) so that the entire variability of your data
is displayed
- example: if the maximum value is 89,451 cfs,
make the upper limit 100,000
- do not make the Y axis logarithmic
- format your figure
- edit the font properties (style, color,
size, etc...), line style (to remove symbols), rang, etc...
- spend some time experimenting with the different
options for both the X and Y axes
- print the plot and draw a trend line through
the data, with the exception of the largest event
V. Annual and Single Event Hydrographs
Plot your orinal time-ordereed data in Excel to
construct an annual and single event hydrograph for the streamflow data for
hydrologic year 2002, and a single event hydrograph for this summer's big flood
event
- Use your original daily values (not the sorted
and ranked data)
- Annual
hydrograph (for a single water year)
- beginning with 10/01 and ending
9/30
- Single flood event hydrograph
- identify the flood event in
the data record and plot the appropriate range of data (Q vs. time)
- For the single flood event hydrographs, identify
the following:
- peak Q (cfs)
- identification of the different
components of a flood hydrograph (runoff, baseflow, rising limb, receding
limb)
- you may plot these after you have printed the graph,
or within Excel using the Draw toolbar
VI: Magnitude - frequency analysis of discharge
events
- From the RI curve, determine the following
statistics. Use a ruler to draw lines on your
plot for the statistics below. You will also report them on a separate sheet
of paper to hand in with the data and plots.
- RI of average annual peak Q
- RI from this summer's Q event
- Q of 10 yr flood
- Q of 25 yr flood
- Q of 100 yr flood
- From the duration curve, determine the following
statistics. Again, use a ruler to plot arrows, and report statistics on a
seperate sheet of paper
- % occurrence of average daily Q
- % occurrence of the Q from this summer's flood
event
- Q = or > 90% of time
- Q = or > 50% of time (median Q)
- Q = or > 10% of time
VII: What to hand in
- Zip disk with spreadsheets organized and cleaned up
- spreadsheets should include RI and duration curves, and also hydrographs
(annual and single event)
- plots of RI and duration curves
- should include arrows, etc... pertaining to relevant statistics
- Data sheet of statistics, organized for the RI and duration curves
- plots of annual and single event hydrographs
- should be appropriately labeled
- Make sure the graphs are neat and tidy. They should
have consistent font sizes, scales, and colors (black and white is preferred). See
the online examples of what your figures should look like
Created by pfh on 9/15/98, last
modified by pfh on 09/30/02