Lab 1: Magnitude and Frequency of Flood Events on the Guadalupe River, Texas

Process Geomorphology
GRG 339-C

Hudson : Fall 2002


Geomorphologists are interested in flooding because large hydrologic events are associated with significant geomorphic change. Whether or not large flood events are responsible for more geomorphic change than frequently occuring smaller discharge events is an important theoretical consideration of geomorphologists, and related to how landforms change. Flooding is only a problem when humans are impacted. During eary July of 2002 the Texas Hill Country received an unusually large amount of rain, which generated basin scale flooding in the rivers draining the eastern Edwards Plateau. This region, the Texas Hill Country, is poised for catastrophic flooding because of the physical setting, steep slopes and thin soils, and the abundant source of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Although such flooding was viewed as catastrophic, it is important to understand the magnitude of the event within the context of the historical data, which pertains to the frequency with which such events occur. The question is: How large was the flood, and how common (frequency) do floods of this size (magnitude) occur? In order to address this question you will perform common hydrological analysis, including hydrographs, flood recurrence intervals, and flow duration curves.


I. Dowload data into Excel


II-A: Gauging station information

USGS Gauging Stations


II-B:

    Daily Q:

     

    Annual peak Q:


III-A: Construct a Flow Duration Curve

Flow duration curves are especially useful for examining daily Q values over the entire period of record. The flow duration is the % of time a Q event of a given magnitude is equaled or exceeded. Thus, a Q of 12,000 cfs with a duration of 30% implies that 70% of the time the daily streamflow is less than 12,000 cfs. Conversely, a very high duration, for example 95%, means that the streamflow of that duration was equaled or exceeded almost every day (95% of the time). Stream ecologists often use flow duration curves to determine the frequency of low flows, which is an important consideration for many aquatic species that depend on a specific range of flow conditions.

=(b1/n+1)*100


III-B: Plot the data in Excel


    Format your chart


IV-A: Determine the Recurrence Interval (RI) for the recent July flood event

Flood recurrence intervals (RI) are a very useful flood index. The RI is the average number of years between floods of equal or greater magnitude. It does not mean that a flood of a specific magnitude will occur every x years. For example, for a 100 year period of record the two largest floods may occur in consecutive years. Indeed, rivers do not understand statistics. However, because this statistic is one of the most commonly reported hydrological indices, it is important for you to understand how it is derived. Although there are more sophisticated procedures for computing RI, the technique outlined below has long been considered the standard in the hydrological sciences. Other techniques, such as Log-Pearson III, may be more appropriate considering the skewed distribution of most hydrographic data sets, particularly in south-central Texas, but the Gumbel method should suffice for our purposes. Geomorphologists are interested in the RI of floods because they relate to channel pattern and geomorphic change. Determining the flood recurrence interval for a gauging station is commonly done by engineers to understand the percentage of time a discharge of a given magnitude (or threshold) will occur. Such analysis are also useful in the consideration and design of engineering structures, such as a bridge or dam.

=(n+1/b1)


IV-B: Plot the data in Excel


    Format your chart


V. Annual and Single Event Hydrographs

VI: Magnitude - frequency analysis of discharge events


VII: What to hand in



Created by pfh on 9/15/98, last modified by pfh on 09/30/02