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Monday, March 17, 2008*
LBJ Student Lounge
Sid Richardson Hall, Unit 3
Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs
The University of Texas at Austin
2315 Red River Street
*Lunch will be served.
LBJ alumnus Dr. David Crockett will examine the upcoming fall election through the lens of "regime cycles." Dr. Crockett argues that we view American politics as a series of partisan regimes in which one political party has the natural advantage over another in any specific electoral era.
He will discuss what is required for the normally disadvantaged party in a specific era to win presidential elections and what has to transpire for Democrats to win in 2008.
The talk will discuss the factors common to opposition party victory: a governing party in trouble, an opposition party candidate who can be considered a blank slate and an opposition party campaign that does not launch a frontal attack on the core issue differences that divide the two parties.
Dr. Crockett will discuss these factors both from a historical and political context. His talk will provide a clear understanding of the nature of this year’s campaign and what it will take for Democrats to win the presidential election.