Doom is
optional
Social Security chief shares hope at alma
mater
by Mary Alice Davis
Returning to his old school, he noted
that enrolling there as a student in the 1970s had been a
turning point. "I wasn't an Ivy Leaguer: I'd gone to a
junior college. . . ." He pauses a bit before
summing up. "It was important for me to be here," Kenneth
Apfel says of his experiences at Austin's Lyndon B. Johnson
School of Public Affairs. He went there in his late 20s,
after a few years as a college administrator in
Massachusetts, to study in detail the inscrutable ways of
bureaucrats and politicians. Last week he came back to visit the
school as a very big bureaucrat, indeed. In September, just
shy of his 49th birthday, Apfel was sworn in as commissioner
of the U.S. Social Security Administration. Observers noted
that this most generation-linking of all government programs
had its first Baby Boomer at the top. He became the man in charge of getting 50
million checks delivered each month, sending money to about
16 percent of all the people in the country. He's the man
with about 65,000 employees looking toward the agency's
Baltimore headquarters for direction. He's the man who sits
in the Washington-insiders' budget huddles. And he's the man
expected to help us figure out what the heck should be done
to save Social Security.His term will end in 2001, along
with that of his boss, President Clinton. But 2001 is just
the start of the significant dates looming in the
administrative viewfinder: In 2012, just before Apfel and a
lot of his fellow Boomers hit conventional retirement age,
annual Social Security spending is likely to start exceeding
its annual revenue from taxes on paychecks. By 2019,
benefits may start nibbling at trust fund principal. And 10
years later the trust fund reserves could be so depleted
that current income wouldn't cover but three-fourths of the
expected benefits. U.S. Social
Security Commissioner Kenneth Apfel, LBJ Class of '78,
shared his thoughts about the future of Social Security
during a fall brown bag lecture at the LBJ School. Prior to
his appointment as Social Security Commissioner in September
1997, Apfel served as President Clinton's Assistant
Secretary for Management and Budget in the U.S. Department
of Health and Human Services and as Associate Director for
Human Resources in the President's Office of Management and
Budget. This is a reprint of an editorial that appeared in
the Austin American- Kenneth Apfel visits with
second-year student Laura Uribarri after his talk in the
Student Lounge last November. Apfel, who became Commissioner
of Social Security in September, was selected by his fellow
LBJ School alumni to receive the 1997 Distinguished Public
Service Award. Photo by María de
la Luz Martínez The situation is serious, Apfel concedes.
But doom and disaster are optional. The Social Security
system will have to change, he says, but it isn't going
away. At a deep level--"in my bones"--Apfel is
convinced that the program providing federal benefits for
retired workers will continue. He's a lot less certain about
the exact form the program will take. It will not continue
just as it is, he says. Things have to change.

Statesman after his visit.

Things are already changing. For instance, benefits to disabled children, who make up a tiny fraction of Apfel's mostly elderly flock, were recently cut. Texas is getting a reputation as one of the most draconian cutters. The commissioner had come here to work on the issue. While in the neighborhood he visited his old school at the University of Texas for a lunch-hour visit with LBJ School students and faculty in the student lounge.
Reprinted by permission of the Austin American-Statesman. Copyright 1997, Austin American-Statesman.
Go to: Contents
* The
Record home page
11 May 98
Comments to lbjwmast@uts.cc.utexas.edu