Doom is optional
Social Security chief shares hope at alma mater

by Mary Alice Davis

Returning to his old school, he noted that enrolling there as a student in the 1970s had been a turning point.

"I wasn't an Ivy Leaguer: I'd gone to a junior college. . . ." He pauses a bit before summing up. "It was important for me to be here," Kenneth Apfel says of his experiences at Austin's Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs. He went there in his late 20s, after a few years as a college administrator in Massachusetts, to study in detail the inscrutable ways of bureaucrats and politicians.

Last week he came back to visit the school as a very big bureaucrat, indeed. In September, just shy of his 49th birthday, Apfel was sworn in as commissioner of the U.S. Social Security Administration. Observers noted that this most generation-linking of all government programs had its first Baby Boomer at the top.

He became the man in charge of getting 50 million checks delivered each month, sending money to about 16 percent of all the people in the country. He's the man with about 65,000 employees looking toward the agency's Baltimore headquarters for direction. He's the man who sits in the Washington-insiders' budget huddles. And he's the man expected to help us figure out what the heck should be done to save Social Security.His term will end in 2001, along with that of his boss, President Clinton. But 2001 is just the start of the significant dates looming in the administrative viewfinder: In 2012, just before Apfel and a lot of his fellow Boomers hit conventional retirement age, annual Social Security spending is likely to start exceeding its annual revenue from taxes on paychecks. By 2019, benefits may start nibbling at trust fund principal. And 10 years later the trust fund reserves could be so depleted that current income wouldn't cover but three-fourths of the expected benefits.

U.S. Social Security Commissioner Kenneth Apfel, LBJ Class of '78, shared his thoughts about the future of Social Security during a fall brown bag lecture at the LBJ School. Prior to his appointment as Social Security Commissioner in September 1997, Apfel served as President Clinton's Assistant Secretary for Management and Budget in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and as Associate Director for Human Resources in the President's Office of Management and Budget. This is a reprint of an editorial that appeared in the Austin American-
Statesman
after his visit.

Kenneth Apfel visits with second-year student Laura Uribarri after his talk in the Student Lounge last November. Apfel, who became Commissioner of Social Security in September, was selected by his fellow LBJ School alumni to receive the 1997 Distinguished Public Service Award.

Photo by María de la Luz Martínez

The situation is serious, Apfel concedes. But doom and disaster are optional. The Social Security system will have to change, he says, but it isn't going away.

At a deep level--"in my bones"--Apfel is convinced that the program providing federal benefits for retired workers will continue. He's a lot less certain about the exact form the program will take. It will not continue just as it is, he says. Things have to change.

Things are already changing. For instance, benefits to disabled children, who make up a tiny fraction of Apfel's mostly elderly flock, were recently cut. Texas is getting a reputation as one of the most draconian cutters. The commissioner had come here to work on the issue. While in the neighborhood he visited his old school at the University of Texas for a lunch-hour visit with LBJ School students and faculty in the student lounge.

Reprinted by permission of the Austin American-Statesman. Copyright 1997, Austin American-Statesman.


Go to: Contents * The Record home page
11 May 98

Comments to lbjwmast@uts.cc.utexas.edu